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LEFT TURN / RIGHT TURN
Mountain Views News Saturday, December 11, 2010
HOWARD Hays
As I See It
Kill The Tax Deal
GREG Welborn
It might surprise you to learn that I don’t like the
tax deal that’s being shopped around Congress. The
fact that this puts me in the same camp as many
of the Democrats is a little disconcerting to my
conservative soul.
One thing is for sure, and that is that President
Obama’s willingness to accept this deal and his
attempt to “sell” it marks the end of Obamanomics.
He’s come out and told us that unless this deal is
passed, unless increases in tax rates are prevented,
the economy will likely enter a double dip recession
or worse. This is nothing short of a repudiation
of the heart and soul of Obamanomics. The only
reason he’s doing it is because it gives him a shot, but
only a shot, at a second term. That’s how disastrous
his economic policies to date have been.
The deal as laid out would maintain the current
tax level for two more years and slightly reduce
payroll taxes. The payroll tax reduction is relatively
minor, so the reality of this deal is that it simply
allows the current tax structure to continue for two
more years. If no deal is reached, on the other hand,
then on January 1st, 2011 President Obama will be
responsible for one of the largest tax increases ever
enacted in this country. Without an extension of what
we have now, income tax rates increase, capital gains
tax rates increase, dividend tax rates increase, the
alternative minimum tax (AMT) will affect several
more million middle class Americans, and estates in
excess of $1 million (almost every successful farm
or small business) will be taxed at confiscatory rates.
But the “rates” are only part of the ugliness. Because
personal exemptions and deductions will be phased
out at ridiculously low levels, the real “effective” rate
that many Americans will pay will increase by more
than 20%.
President Obama knows this. His acceptance of
“the deal” acknowledges, not only that his tax and
spend policies have failed to lift the economy, but
that tax rates matter to growth, that treating business
owners as criminals or pirates does real harm
(who’s going to invest in their business when they
face that attitude from their own government), and
that reducing tax rates is much more effective than
increasing spending. President Obama is finally
telling the nation, or at least the far lefties in his own
party, that businesses actually do most of the hiring
in this country, and they typically don’t hire if they
don’t make profits after tax.
President Obama told us originally that spending
more money in stimulus two, or tarp two, or
whatever two that was (I’ve lost track) would
grow the economy and keep unemployment from
increasing. He never explained how spending
money in one area increased employment but
taking it from another area didn’t just as affectively
decrease employment. That’s always been the reality
of government spending. Whether you tax someone
or borrow the money from them, when you take
money away from business A to buy something
from business B, you may increase the employment
at B, but you most assuredly decrease it at A. The
net effect of government spending has never been an
increase in economic activity or employment.
Now, the president is finally acknowledging it.
Obamanomics is dead. What’s left to be seen is
whether the remnants of the Democratic Party are
going to die or evolve. Some of them actually are
fighting the deal because they want to continue on
with the current failed policies. As if the loss of 68
seats in the House and employment climbing to
9.8% wasn’t enough to convince them that their
theories don’t work in the real world, they actually
want to let tax rates go up on
January 1st to see how many
more businesses shutter their
doors and fire their employees.
I’ve never understood liberal
thought, but I really believed
I understood political survival
instincts.
Now with all that said, let me drop the bombshell
that I don’t support the deal. Of course, I don’t
support it for a much different reason than the
typical Democrat. I don’t think it goes far enough
in assuring us that tax rates won’t rise in the future,
and passing the deal would violate the Pledge To
America.
In the real world, businesses make decisions
on whether to expand their plants, introduce new
product lines and ultimately employ more people,
or give existing ones raises, based on expected
profits into the future. Given the money required to
open a new plant or introduce a new product line,
businesses will not simply look at the next 2 years.
They look to the next 5, 10, 15 years. The same
applies to hiring new workers. Most managers
don’t want to hire someone, only to have to fire or
lay them off at the end of 2 years. The deal, as it is
currently constructed, would only assure business
owners that their taxes won’t go up for the next 2
years. After that, there’s absolutely no guarantee
as to what would happen. And the louder the
Democrats scream about extending the current
tax rates for just 2 years, the more convinced most
business owners are that Democrats would seek to
increase them after 2 years. In short, the deal isn’t
going to prompt that many business owners to
invest or hire more people. It’s so temporary a “fix”
as to be ineffective. Probably worse than ineffective
because too many people might think that it will
accomplish something.
The other major problem with the deal is that
it violates the Pledge To America, which is what
brought so many independents back into the
mainstream and to supporting Republicans. The
essential principals on which Republicans ran
and the voters clearly elected their representatives
included 1) PERMANENTLY stopping all tax hikes,
2) acting IMMEDIATELY to reduce spending, and
3) reading bills entirely BEFORE they are passed
into law.
The deal would not permanently stop tax
increases; it specifically increases government
spending in the form of increased employment
benefits; and because of the time that has been
spent dickering around and adding amendments,
there is almost no time left for Congressmen to
actually read the thing.
The bottom line from my perspective is, as
Obama said almost two years ago, elections have
consequences. Back then he “won”. Today, it’s the
conservatives who won, and they did so by making
explicit promises to the voters. My advice to them
is to walk away from the deal, let the Democrats
increases taxes, and take it to the voters again.
I’m sure many Democrats would hear from their
constituents over the Christmas holiday, but it may
take some of them another two years and another
election defeat to get the message.
About the author: Gregory J. Welborn is a
freelance writer and has spoken to several civic
and religious organizations on cultural and moral
issues. He lives in the Los Angeles area with his wife
and 3 children and is active in the community. He
can be reached at gregwelborn@earthlink.net.
"Let us reason together."
Powerful words - a slogan used
by Lyndon Johnson in his 1964
presidential campaign. They
provided an effective counterpoint
to Barry Goldwater's "Extremism
in the defense of liberty is no vice."
Americans generally support the concept of
reasoning together. A new Gallup poll shows
two-thirds of respondents favoring President
Obama's compromise with Republicans on tax
cut and unemployment benefit extensions. A
Bloomberg poll released the same time, though,
cites a similar two-thirds as preferring that tax cuts
for the wealthiest be allowed to expire, while made
permanent for the middle-class.
Democrats wax nostalgic about the eloquent
combativeness of Franklin Roosevelt: "These
economic royalists complain that we seek to
overthrow the institutions of America. What they
really complain of is that we seek to take away their
power. Our allegiance to American institutions
requires the overthrow of this kind of power. In
vain they seek to hide behind the flag and the
Constitution. In their blindness they forget what the
flag and the Constitution stand for."
Democrats yearn for the "plain-speaking" of
Harry Truman: "The Republicans believe that the
power of government should be used first of all to
help the rich and the privileged in the country. With
them, property, wealth, comes first. The Democrats
believe that the power of government should be
used to give the common man more protection and
a chance to make a living. With us the people come
first. 'A Government as Good As Its People'"
Echoes of that clarity and determination are heard
today from Independent Sen. Bernie Sanders of
Vermont, who says it is " . . . beyond comprehension
that the Republicans would hold hostage the entire
middle class of this country so that millionaires and
billionaires would receive huge tax breaks. In my
view, that is not what this country is about and it is
not what the American people want to see. Our job
is to save the disappearing middle class, not lower
taxes for people who are already extraordinarily
wealthy and increase the national debt that our
children and grandchildren would have to pay."
Keith Olbermann on MSNBC began his
commentary by paraphrasing Winston Churchill;
"We have sustained defeat without a war". In
assessing support for the president, he said he told
an administration official trying to sell him on the
proposal, "the base has just vanished."
Republicans, too, have come out against the
compromise. Continuation of the lowered tax rates,
they say, is sure to bring investment and job creation,
notwithstanding the fact the identical claim was
made nine years ago and proved bogus. Their
objection is not in assuring the top 1% (averaging
$1.4 million annual income) can save $83,000 a
year in taxes, but in sending those $290 weekly
unemployment checks offering a lifeline to 2 million
Americans and their families.
Our favorite Tea Party candidate, Christine
O'Donnell of Delaware, announced formation of
her new Political Action Committee by citing three
"tragedies" of the day; commemoration of the Pearl
Harbor attack, the death of Elizabeth Edwards, and
the extension of unemployment benefits (she later
explained she didn't mean what she said). Sen.
Jim DeMint (R-SC) says "We just can't keep paying
people to stay at home." (A survey by the San
Francisco Federal Reserve concludes that those who
receive benefits stay unemployed an average of 1.6
weeks longer than those who don't.)
Republicans decry the "massive spending" of the
proposed extension of unemployment benefits,
figured at $56 billion over two years - but not the
$140 billion over the same period for blocking a
3-point marginal tax increase for those making
over $200,000 a year ($250,000 for families). Rep.
Michelle Bachman (R-MN), Sen. Tom Coburn (R-
OK) and Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-TN) go on the
air to describe payroll tax cuts for the middle-class as
"government spending", while cutting taxes for the
wealthiest is simply allowing them to "keep their own
money". Bachman also complains that President
Obama doesn't use the term "God" enough in his
speeches. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich
suggests tax rates be set by "the business leadership
of the country".
A big question is how this compromise proposal
will effect President Obama's re-election prospects.
According to Survey USA as reported in the
Washington Post, 74% of those who contributed
to Obama in 2008 oppose the deal allowing for an
extension of the Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest.
57% of them are less likely to support Democrats in
2012 who back the compromise, and 51% are less
likely to support the president's re-election.
The dilemma for President Obama is that he
serves not just as party leader or campaign strategist,
but as president of all Americans. In his press
conference, he alluded to the dangers of refusing
to compromise: "People will have the satisfaction
of having a purist position and no victories for the
American people. And we will be able to feel good
about ourselves and sanctimonious about how pure
our intentions are and how tough we are, and in
the meantime the American people are still seeing
themselves not able to get health insurance because
of a preexisting condition. Or not being able to pay
their bills because their unemployment insurance
ran out. "
Should this compromise pass, there will be
the need to remind voters that the deficit is now
unquestionably the responsibility of Congressional
Republicans, not of President Obama. We'll need to
make sure diminished revenue through cuts in the
payroll tax is never used as an excuse to cut benefits
from Social Security or Medicare, or turn such
programs over to the same Wall Street players who
decimated so many 401(k)'s and thousands of other
retirement accounts.
There's the need to be open to compromise in
order to provide those "victories for the American
people." There's also the need to hear more plain-
speaking from Harry Truman: "Whenever a fellow
tells me he's bipartisan, I know he's going to vote
against me."
MARY Carney
From The Inside Out
New Streets –
and CARE
It’s so exciting – for the first
time in at least 28 years, our
street was repaved this week.
To drive away in the morning over bleached
gray, cracked and broken asphalt and come
back to smooth stretch of brown earth – what a
transformation. To see the huge trucks with teeth
underneath used to grind up the old stuff right
down to the earth. And the next day to glimpse
the whole process a few streets away as I drove to-
and-fro for work. This morning to experience the
big roller packing down the earth – not just with
its weight, but with a deep internal hammering
that reverberate through the earth up to 200
feet away, reminding me a bit of an earthquake
… awesome! When I take the time to really
look such road building equipment, I’m again
reminded of the immense creativity we humans
have, that enables us to imagine, design, build,
test and use equipment like this. Today – only
the third day since work started, when I come
home again our street (and others in town) will
be completely repaved.
I lived and worked for CARE (www.care.
org/) in Bangladesh for two years, overseeing
USAID wheat being distributed as laborer
wages through their government’s rural civil
engineering projects. These projects had three
purposes: 1) Rebuilding or repairing rural roads,
embankments, canals and water storage facilities
for better transportation communication during
the rainy / flood season, 2) creating better water
storage capability for water access during the
dry season, and 3) providing employment for
the landless or near landless living in the rural
area who had no way to grow food to feed their
families. Payment for a day’s work – if earth
moving quota was met - was the receipt of 6
pounds of USAID donated wheat (grains, not
flour). Men had to move 150 cubic feet of earth,
women only had to move 100 cubic feet of earth
to get paid.
I ask you - would you spend a day in
backbreaking labor with pick and shovel,
breaking up dried earth and piling it into woven
baskets, digging it out of canals to build higher
embankments in the yearly attempt to better
control the rainy season flood, or lugging filled
baskets to pile the roads higher so that they were
(hopefully) above flood level during the rainy
season for 6# of (often buggy) wheat grains that
had to be milled into flour? Would you spend
every day, crouched on your haunches and
holding an umbrella over between your shoulder
and your neck for shelter from either rain or sun in
one hand, while using one hand to grasp a clump
of grass and the other hand with the scissors to
cut it so your lawn looked nice?
If you had land to grow rice, when you harvested
your rice, would you spend every day along the
edges of the asphalt road, carefully shuffling the
rice with your feet from one hot part of the edge
to another so it dries properly for storage? And at
the end of the day carefully sweeping every grain
off the asphalt because those grains are the food
that will feed your family during the rainy season?
Billions of people around the world spend
their days working physically very hard simply
to survive. Digging poor soil to grow crops,
carrying water to wash and cook with – maybe
with only the earth for a floor in your house.
Because there are so many people living near you,
you may need to gather and use cow dung for
fuel - although, if there is some left over, mixing
cow dung with various colors of earth makes
both a strong, actually cleanable floor, as well as
interior / exterior wall plaster for rondaavals (yes,
I also worked 2.5 years in Lesotho, [Le soo too],
totally surrounded by South Africa, with all the
interesting political and racial undercurrents you
can imagine).
Thank you, City of Sierra Madre City Council
and Staff, for reminding me of the earth under
my street and under our house. Thank you for
reminding me that it’s a whole lot easier to keep
both streets and houses clean because we are
“above” the earth, dust, mud, insects and bugs.
Thank you for caring enough to plan ahead to
ensure we have adequate and safe water in the
years to come. Thank you for putting up with our
individual - and not always gracefully - expressed
opinions. Thank you, dear heart, for inviting me
to live with you here in Sierra Madre – for being
able to come up the hill to home – out and away
from the frenetic energies of the big city “down
below”, into the quiet, with trees, clean air and the
mountains. I am (we all are) are so blessed ….
By Susan Henderson
Newly elected Assembly Member Tim Donnelly,
has, as promised in his campaign, gone to
“Sacramento To Start The War”. Since his
swearing in earlier this month, he has introduced
two extremely divisive and controversial bills, the
latest of which is cloaked in the guise of “helping
members of the armed forces and their families.”
That Bill, AB63, was introduced last week and
does have a provision that will assist service
persons and their family members that are
transferred to military installations in California
with the cost of tuition while attending school
here. The bill would allow those service persons
and their families to waive the residency
requirement and receive a reduced tuition rate.
They would be eligible to pay the ‘in state’ rate,
which is considerably lower than the rate charged
to ‘out of state’ students, people who have been in
California for less than three years.
However, the bill also will “remove people who
are in the country illegally from eligibility for in-
state tuition for the California State University
and California Community College systems.
According to a staetment from his office, “..existing
law allows people who have attended a California
high school for three years to pay in-state tuition
fees, regardless of immigration status.”
“The current situation is both costly and unfair,
giving discounted tuition to illegal aliens and
treating our armed forces, stationed in California,
as less deserving than people who are unlawfully
present in the State,” said Donnelly. “AB 63 will
correct this wrong and give those who risk their
lives in service to our country, and their families,
a chance to receive higher education.”
If passed in its present form, the bill would
penalize children who have attended California
Schools, but who may be in the country illegally
through no fault of their own. Opponents of
efforts such as Donnelly’s plan in AB63, note
that a minor child has no jurisdiction over his
immigration status and that it is fundamentally
unfair to punish a child for the actions of their
parents.
“These children are being targeted for political
purposes”, said one angry parent. “These kids
have been classmates and friends of our kids and
deserve the same treatment. It is good to provide
for our soldiers, but we shouldn’t use it as an
excuse to push the anti-immigration agenda. We
will fight this!”
This is the second bill that Donnelly has
introduced that has people up in arms. The first
calls for California to adopt a law similar to the
Arizona immigration law.
Assembly Member Donnelly represents the 59th
Assembly District, which includes portions of the
cities of Arcadia and Monrovia, and the entire
city of Sierra Madre.
Donnelly, a Tea Party Republican, founded the
largest Minuteman chapter in California
ASSEMBLY MEMBER DONNELLY INTRODUCES
SECOND PIECE OF CONTROVERSIAL LEGISLATION
Dreier: Rules Committee Chair for 112th Congress
WASHINGTON, D.C. – Congressman David Dreier (R-CA), Rules Committee Ranking
Republican, issued the following statement today
regarding his selection as House Rules Committee
Chairman for the 112th Congress:
"Under a new Majority, the 112th Congress will be
managed differently than any Congress before it
and I am honored to be a part of Speaker-designate
Boehner’s leadership team. The Rules Committee
will be responsible for implementing and maintaining
a commitment to the reforms that the new
Republican Majority has pledged to put in place.
We need to make the House more transparent and
accountable to the American people. We also need
to reform the rules and operations of the House to
ensure that they encourage spending reductions
and economic growth. Tremendous challenges lie
ahead. An impressive and dedicated group of new
members will help us achieve these goals.”
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