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LEFT TURN/RIGHT TURN
Mountain Views News Saturday June 16, 2012
HOWARD Hays As I See It
BI-PARTISANSHIP AIN’T WHAT
IT’S CRACKED UP TO BE
Listening to President Obama’s speech
today, it seems his new campaign strategy is
to mimic Truman and run against the “do-
nothing congress”. This of course assumes
that the Congress isn’t doing anything (hence
they’re doing nothing), but more importantly
that when they do something it’s actually a
good thing. History pretty clearly tells us
that this isn’t necessarily true.
The opposite of a “do-nothing” Congress
is bi-partisan cooperation in which lots gets
done. But the record pretty clearly shows
that what Congress does matters more than
anything else. This should seem like a pretty
obvious statement. If Congress and the
President pass a bad law, then bad things
come from bi-partisanship. On the other
hand, if Congress and the President pass
a good law, then good things happen. It’s
what’s done that matters.
When it comes to the state of our
economy the principal above couldn’t be
more true. President Reagan operated
with a Democratic Congress to pass one
the greatest tax reductions in our country’s
history, and the resulting boom repaired the
years of misery under Carter. Many readers
may not remember the “misery index”, but it
was the combination of the inflation index
and the unemployment index. Yes, both
were occurring at the same time – contrary
to what Keynesian economists said was
possible – and many media and political
elites had written America off; our best days
were supposedly behind us. Reagan offered
a great solution, got cooperation from
across the aisle, and America recovered and
achieved new heights.
Bill Clinton ran into a bit of trouble with
Americans when he had a Congress of his
choosing – heavily Democratic. They didn’t
do such a good job, and the Americans took
the opportunity of the mid-term elections
to give Republicans control of the Congress
for the first time in about 40 years. Clinton
correctly read the voters’ message and began
to work with the Congress to implement
real spending restraint, tax reductions, and
welfare reform. The result was another
economic boom and several years of Federal
surpluses. Seems almost impossible to
conceive of that now. They are possible, but
only when economic policy moves in the
right direction.
President
George
W. Bush
decided
he would
be more
cooperative
with his
Congress
in the last
two years
of his second term. That proved to be a big
mistake. Rather than move Congress to his
side of the political debate, he simply joined
the Democrats on their side. This is bi-
partisanship, but it wasn’t a pretty thing. We
got a trillion dollar prescription drug benefit,
abuse at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac,
resulting in the mortgage meltdown of the
economy, and a $700 billion TARP bailout,
among other spending orgies. The economy
tanked.
President Obama came into office with
a heavily sympathetic Congress and doubled
down on the TARP program, government
spending, and pressed Obamacare on the
nation. Congress cooperated right up to the
point of creating the largest deficits we’ve
ever seen and the largest federal debt we’ve
ever carried. The economy almost imploded.
In concept, cooperation seems like a
good thing. If we can all just get along,
there’s a lot less confrontation in the air, and
humans tend to feel good about that. But
cooperation is only a means to an end. The
result still has to be good, or the cooperation
is not beneficial at all. In fact, it can cause
some pretty significant problems. Let’s all
hope that when Congress and the President
(Obama or Romney) finally do something in
2013, they do the right thing, and we don’t
all just hold hands in bi-partisan fashion and
jump off the fiscal cliff together.
About the author: Gregory J. Welborn is a
freelance writer and has spoken to several
civic and religious organizations on cultural
and moral issues. He lives in the Los Angeles
area with his wife and 3 children and is active
in the community. He can be reached at
gregwelborn@earthlink.net.
“There isn’t a journalist in
the country who doesn’t know
what Obama meant.”
- Howard Kurtz on CNN’s
“Reliable Sources”
Yeah, we know – President
Obama was speaking of private
sector job growth relative to
the public sector when he said,
“The private sector is doing fine.” Within minutes
of the president’s press conference, though, the
twitter-sphere was buzzing (tweeting?) with a
new “gotcha!” for Republican operatives.
That very afternoon, Mitt Romney was asking,
“Is he really that out of touch?” (The same Mitt
Romney who a few weeks earlier told teachers
at an inner-city Philadelphia school of a study
showing class size doesn’t matter, and of the
benefits of two-parent households.)
Chances are there will be a new “gotcha!”
dominating coverage by the time this column
appears, but Romney promises the president’s
remark will “go down in history”.
The president later clarified he was referring
to the history of creating “3 million jobs over the
last 27 months, over 800,000 just this year alone.”
Romney’s own history shows Massachusetts
ranking 47th out of 50 states in job creation
during his governorship.
Bloomberg news went beyond the history of
the two candidates and looked at private sector
job creation over the past fifty years. That
history shows that since the Inauguration of JFK,
Republicans have been in office 28 years vs. 23
years for the Democrats. According to the Labor
Department, 42 million private sector jobs were
added during those 23 years under Democrats,
vs. 14 million during 28 years under Republicans.
On a monthly basis, Bill Clinton comes in first,
averaging 217,000 private sector jobs created per
month during his two terms. Jimmy Carter is
second at 188,000, with Ronald Reagan third at
153,000. During the eight years under George
W. Bush, an average 6,700 private sector jobs
were lost each month. (Public sector job growth
has been about even – with an average 22,000 a
month increase under Democrats, and 21,000
under Republicans.)
130,000 private sector jobs were created in
April, surpassing the number created the month
Obama took office. Total job growth, however,
is slightly less – as the public sector shed over
600,000 jobs since the beginning of his term. At
the state level, government employment was cut
1.2% in 2011 – the largest cut since they started
keeping track in 1955.
Cutting public employment while coming
out of a recession is unprecedented in recent
history; with Presidents Reagan, H.W. Bush and
Clinton all seeing growth in government hiring
in recovering from the 1981, 1990 and 2001
recessions.
Under George W. Bush, the number of public
sector jobs had increased by 3.7% at this point
in his presidency. If public sector employment
grew at the same rate under President Obama
as it did under his predecessor, there’d be an
additional 1.4 million Americans working, and
the unemployment rate would be lower by a full
percentage point.
Economist Paul Krugman took the comparison
back further; “If it weren’t for this destructive
fiscal austerity, our unemployment rate would
almost certainly be lower now than it was at a
comparable stage of the ‘Morning in America’
recovery during the Reagan era.” Under Ronald
Reagan, over twice as many government jobs
were added (1.4 million) as have been cut under
President Obama. There was the “stimulus” of
a $415 billion increase in government spending
on goods and services during the Reagan years,
compared to a $114 billion cut in such spending
over the last two years, as President Obama’s
stimulus program wound down.
Aside from employment, there are other signs
“the private sector is doing fine.” According
to the U.S. Commerce Department, after-tax
corporate profits are at an all-time high of nearly
$1.7 trillion, surpassing the pre-recession record
of not-quite $1.4 trillion. Corporate profits have
also never been higher as a percentage of the
country’s GDP. The Federal Reserve reports
U.S. corporations are currently sitting on $1.74
trillion in liquid assets.
Under tax laws and (absence of) regulations
championed by purchased Members of Congress,
these profits and liquid assets are not going
for hiring and business development, but for
executive salaries that now average $12 million
a year for the CEO of a Fortune 500 company.
According to a recent AFL-CIO study, the
average CEO of an S&P 500 Index company pulls
in a salary 380 times that of the average worker;
in 1980, the salary of the CEO of a large company
was about 42 times what the average worker
made.
Those S&P 500 Index CEOs had salary increases
of 13.9% in 2011, while the Index itself remained
flat. Workers saw an average salary increase of
2.8%. In 2010, 93% of the country’s income gains
went to the richest 1%.
As President Obama made clear, the private
sector may be doing fine, but the economy isn’t.
It certainly isn’t helped by massive layoffs in the
public sector, and the “multiplier effect” this has
on private sector businesses – especially in an
economy which is 70% consumer-driven.
A week before the president appeared
at his press conference, Martin Bashir on
MSNBC commented on House Majority
Leader Eric Cantor’s (R-VA) own declaration
for the microphones, that “these job numbers
are pathetic” and what’s needed is the “right
leadership”:
“But Mr. Cantor is part of the leadership of
this country ... Leader Cantor has done absolutely
everything in his powers to be sure that not one of
the president’s policies on job creation have ever
seen the light of day. Even when an independent
analytics firm like Moody’s estimates that the
American Jobs Act would create about two
million new jobs, and raise GDP by a full 2
percentage points, Mr. Cantor prefers his own
form of leadership, which is designed to crush job
creation ... You always wanted to undermine the
President - but what you’ve done is undermine
the country.”
There might be those who misunderstood the
point President Obama was trying to make. But
I don’t think anyone could miss the point Martin
Bashir made.
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