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LEFT TURN/RIGHT TURN
Mountain Views News Saturday, October 8, 2011
HOWARD Hays As I See It
GREG Welborn
STIMULUS AND OTHER FAIRY TALES
“We’re going to close the
unproductive tax loopholes
that allow some of the truly
wealthy to avoid paying
their fair share . . . they
sometimes made it possible
for millionaires to pay
nothing, while a bus driver
was paying ten percent of his
salary, and that’s crazy. It’s
time we stopped it. . . Do you
think the millionaire ought to pay more in taxes
than the bus driver, or less?”
- Ronald Reagan
Last week, Greg Welborn wrote he considered
President Obama’s statement that “middle-
class families shouldn’t pay higher taxes than
millionaires and billionaires” to be “anything but
straightforward”, and promised to “demonstrate
its falsehood”. I read his column, and failed
to learn whether he agreed with the premise,
shared by both Presidents Reagan and Obama,
that one’s tax liability shouldn’t depend on the
wherewithal to afford armies of tax attorneys
and lobbyists to skew the tax code in one’s favor.
President Reagan clearly understood the
inequity, and in fact took steps to address it
shortly into his second term, with the Tax
Reform Act of 1986. Greg accuses President
Obama of having “manipulated the facts” in
referring to Warren Buffet’s assertion he pays
taxes at a higher rate than his secretary. Reagan
told a luncheon crowd in Chicago Heights about
“ . . . a letter from a man out here in the country . .
.a He wrote me in support of the tax plan because
he said, ‘I am legally able to take advantage of the
present tax code . . . paying a smaller tax than
my secretary pays.’” (Reagan described him
as “an executive who’s earning . . . well above
$100,000 a year.” This was 1985.) Reagan moved
to equalize the rates between capital gains and
ordinary wages and salaries, between rates paid
by wealthy investors and middle-class families.
All this changed under President George W.
Bush with his second round of tax cuts in 2003.
The rate on capital gains was dropped to 15%, less
than half what it was under Reagan. Dividend
income, which was taxed as ordinary income
throughout the Reagan years, was dropped to
the 15% rate as well. What Greg refers to as
Obama’s “pandering” and “absurdities” are, in
fact, suggestions we return to rates not nearly as
high as they were under Reagan.
Averaging tax rates of certain groups, as Greg
does, can be useful, but doesn’t always reflect
reality. (Bill Gates and I have an average net worth
in the billions of dollars.) There’s the “carried-
interest loophole”, for instance, which allows
investment managers to treat income from their
services as capital gains. It’s been calculated that
closing this loophole for the top 25 hedge-fund
managers, who collectively took in $22 billion
last year, would increase revenue by $4 billion a
year - if only they were taxed at the same rate as
a teacher, firefighter or factory worker. (It would
take 440,000 middle-class families to match the
income of those 25 individuals.)
Another distortion is to focus on income
tax rates. For 80% of taxpayers, the income tax
constitutes less than half of all federal taxes paid.
It’s a distortion to characterize, as Greg does, our
35% corporate tax rate as the “second highest in
the industrialized world”. While other countries
have moved to close corporate loopholes, we’ve
expanded them - resulting in our effective
corporate tax rate being one of the world’s
lowest. Among 26 industrialized countries, in
corporate taxes as a percentage of GDP, we rank
second from the bottom (right above Iceland).
The biggest distortion, though, is suggesting
easing the tax burden for most Americans is a
concern of those opposing President Obama.
Last fall, the Republican minority in the Senate
threatened to hike taxes for 98% of American
families, those with incomes under $250,000 a
year, and cut off unemployment insurance for
those really struggling, unless the top marginal
rate of the wealthiest 2% was kept at 36% instead
of being allowed to return to the 39% it was
under President Clinton. (According to the Tax
Policy Center, that cut in the top marginal rate
alone has cost the Treasury $2.3 trillion since it
was enacted.)
Greg refers to “Every study” showing “When
you reduce taxes . . . tax receipts go up.” I’m not
sure what “study” he’s referring to, but the facts
are easily accessible. President Bush reduced
taxes, and receipts, comparing his first year in
office with his last, went up 27%. Clinton raised
taxes, and receipts went up 75%. He also left a
histoary of unprecedented economic expansion
and a budget surplus of $236 billion, allowing us
to begin paying down our national debt. It will
take a generation to recover from the history left
by the Bush Administration.
Arguments being made today for lowering
taxes on the wealthiest at the expense of the rest
of us are the same ones used in recent history.
They’re no more valid now than they were
then. The advantage we have today is we can
go back and recall the consequences when those
arguments prevailed.
Going further back, there was an evocation
of the history of feudalism in the accompanying
column by Susan Stamper Brown. In her
advocacy of a continued redistribution of wealth
from those who merely work for a living to
those who once were referred to as “our betters”,
she warns that unless we acquiesce to this
concentration of wealth into the hands of the
oligarchs, they may not deem us worthy of their
charity.
It’s not a history I want to be a part of. It’s not
a history those who founded and built our nation
wanted to be a part of, either.
Here’s a trick question for you – trick because
the title of this article gives a pretty good clue
as to the right answer. When was the last time
a targeted, temporary stimulus package from
Washington increased employment and boosted
the economy? Answer: never! I realize a lot
of the President’s supporters and base would
like another answer, but history is absolutely
consistent in showing that such policies have
never worked.
Let’s start with good old Gerald Ford. A truly
remarkable, hard working and honest president,
but one who received very bad advice. When he
took office, we were in the midst of a recession.
He proposed a temporary tax rebate, a temporary
increase in social security benefits and a tax
credit for home buyers. Sounds a bit familiar
doesn’t it? The results were unimpressive to say
the least. Economic growth rose at the outset and
then within months slipped right back to where
it was (abysmal), and unemployment got worse.
Jimmy Carter took advantage of these
economic doldrums and landed the job on the
basis of fixing what ailed us. His plan was a
one-time tax rebate, social security bonuses,
temporary grants and one-time aid payments
to the states to get things going at the local level.
Sounds a bit familiar doesn’t it? So were the
results.
There was a temporary increase in activity,
some mildly good readings in the national
economic data, and then the downward pace
accelerated. Carter’s own internal economic
gurus started noticing what the rest of the
nation felt. The economy went into a deep
recession. Carter did manage to add something
new: massive, widespread inflation along with
recession. We commonly refer back to those
terrible days as “the Carter years”.
George W. Bush took a sip of this cool-aid as
well. In his first term, there were some signs of
economic deterioration. This frightened the new
president a bit, and so he scaled back his promise
for permanent tax relief and went with a program
of temporary reductions in taxes and some nice
rebates. Sounds a bit familiar doesn’t it? It
didn’t work. We remember the 2001 economy as
recessionary, and then we got 9-11 thrown in the
mix.
We need to fast forward here to the end of Bush’s
second term. The financial crisis prompted
another frightened response from the president’s
team. President Bush implemented temporary
tax rebates in 2008. By their own reckoning,
White House economists concluded that the
stimulus had no positive affect. Bush, of course,
left office, and Barak Obama stepped in. Despite
have made great political hay about doing things
differently than “the previous administration”,
Obama’s approach was –sounding familiar
again, isn’t it? – temporary, targeted stimulus
with tax rebates, grants to the states and local
governments and the now well known $800
billion of new spending President Obama
followed it with even more spending and deficits,
and the affect has been
pretty much what we
should have expected.
Despite the promise
that all this spending,
granting and rebating
would save some
number of millions of
jobs, unemployment
grew to 10%. That
number itself is a little
fuzzy. If we include
people who have just
given up trying to find a job, credible estimates
of total unemployment top 15%.
The point here is that our current situation
should feel familiar because it is. We have been
down this path many times before – always
with the same result. The reason is that most
politicians – almost by definition – are reluctant
to give up power. Most seek more power, and
exercising “control” over the economy, even if it
is an illusion, gives them a sense of significance
in their own mind and certainly stature within
the Washington beltway.
The solution to our problem should also be
familiar, because we have gone down that path
before. Every once in awhile, we get a president
who understands that allowing people the
freedom to exercise their own industriousness
will generate lots of economic activity. People
are for the most part rational beings. We take
steps to achieve our goals. They react to various
stimuli in very logical ways. If you give them
a “temporary” tax break, with the implicit or
explicit intention of raising the tax later, we
shouldn’t be surprised if they don’t invest or act
for the long term. Most business owners will
reduce economic activity because of the threat of
higher taxes.
The familiar solution to our problem was
most recently implemented by Ronald Reagan.
Inheriting a much worse crisis than Obama, he
responded with permanent reductions in tax
rates and regulatory burdens. People reacted
rationally to this stimulus. The recession ended
quickly, and people went back to work. George
W. Bush, in the middle years of his presidency,
also followed the Reagan way with similar
positive results. The way forward is familiar.
We just need to choose that path. Sadly, Obama
seems allergic to even considering it, so we may
just have to wait 2012 for a turning point.
About the author: Gregory J. Welborn is a
freelance writer and has spoken to several civic
and religious organizations on cultural and moral
issues. He lives in Arcadia with his wife and 3
children and is active in the community. He can
be reached at gregwelborn@earthlink.net.
'OCCUPY WALL STREET' DEMONSTRATIONS COULD SPREAD -
AND SPARK BACKLASH An Independent's Eye by Joe Gandelman
Was that a long ago-echo in my
ears? The other day I caught
video of a big protest with demonstrators
shouting, "The whole
world is watching!" as police
approached.
Wasn't that chant from 1968
when Chicago Mayor Richard
Daley unleashed his police on
anti-war demonstrators at the
ill-fated Democratic convention?
In the same video, some
chanted "Un pueblo unido jamas
sera vencido!" a worldwide
protesters' phrase stemming
from a slogan used by the
equally ill-fated leftist Chilean
leader Salvador Allende in 1970
and popularized worldwide in
a 1972 recorded song. Wasn't
that the chant I heard covering
a demonstration in Franco's
Spain?
Then I heard a young woman
explain that wealth is bad. She
used more 60s style clichés
in a defining moment at the end
of the day. But those weren't
echoes. They were from demonstrations
by the anti-corporate,
pro-fairness Occupy Wall
Street protests, which snarled
traffic on the Brooklyn Bridge
and ended in some 700 arrests.
The protests sparked copycat
demonstrations in cities such
as Los Angeles, Denver Chicago
and Boston with future protests
being planned in Washington
D.C. and elsewhere.
Just as the summer of 2010's
conservative Tea Party protesters
screeched "We want our
country back!" from the forces
that propelled Barack Obama
into the White House, Occupy
Wall Street protesters are
saying "We want our country
back!" from corporations, banks
and the campaign-donation-
greased politicians who kowtow
to them.
Many leftists and some centrists
yearn for a movement to counterbalance
the Tea Partiers who
check mated chunks of Barack
Obama's agenda. Progressives
are now trying to organize
groups to offer better pushback
and advocacy. Enter Occupy
Wall Street demonstrations
which reportedly attract college
kids and aging hippies united
in their outrage over the kind
of country and dreams they
see being lost and the political
and financial forces that did big
damage getting away consequence
free.
Protests have often impacted
on their times, changed history
or sparked backlash. Mahatma
Gandhi's non-violent civil
disobedience demonstrations
helped free India from the British.
Martin Luther King Jr. took
a page from his book, successfully
using the same tactics in
the civil rights battle. The 1960s
anti-Vietnam war protests
changed public perceptions of
the war but also triggered polarization,
angry "silent majority"
backlash and helped elect
Richard Nixon — the first step
in undercutting the New Deal,
Great Society and Democratic
Party dominance of the courts
and bureaucracy.
Opposition demonstrations I
covered in India in 1974 inspired
then-Prime Minister
Indira Gandhi to temporarily
suspend Indian democracy.
Demonstrations I witnessed in
post-Franco Spain gave then-
young King Juan Carlos the
support he needed to help quietly
steer Spain into a democratic
era. Deep spending cuts by
the United Kingdom's coalition
government led to widespread
austerity protests in early 2011.
And then there's the "Arab
Spring," which made Twitter
and civil disobedience potent
political tools in fomenting
revolution in Egypt and Tunisia
and inspiring protests in Northern
Africa and Middle East
Arab majority states aimed at
changing or toppling the existing
order.
Many commentators on the left
now suggest that Occupy Wall
Street demonstrations could
be the catalyst for a new "Arab
Spring" in the United States.
Filmmaker Michael Moore predicts
it will soon involve thousands
-- although with Moore's
political prediction accuracy
record perhaps he's referring to
an Arab spring mattress, while
the reality is that it will take
more than some noisy demonstrations
to get Wall Street's
attention.
But there are dangers. If demonstrations
grow, a divide will
grow over the protester's points,
tactics, and society's right to respond
and crack down on protesters
disruptions. There could
be counter demonstrations by
those who don't like the protesters
tactics, plus pressure
on local and national politicos
to either denounce or express
solidarity with the protesters. It
could impact some 2012 votes.
Those who want demonstrations
say that's the idea but
they seem to forget: The 1968
American anti-war version of
the "Arab spring" led to the
1969-1974 Republican winter
of Richard Nixon and a long
period of Republican presidencies
bookmarked by occasional
Democrats.
When the whole world is watching
that also includes the country's
disorder-hating center.
Copyright 2011 Joe Gandelman,
distributed exclusively by Cagle
Cartoons newspaper syndicate.
Joe Gandelman is a veteran journalist
who wrote for newspapers
overseas and in the United
States. He has appeared on cable
news show political panels and
is Editor-in-Chief of The Moderate
Voice, an Internet hub
for independents, centrists and
moderates. CNN's John Avlon
named him as one of the top 25
Centrists Columnists and Commentators.
He can be reached at
jgandelman@themoderatevoice.
com and can be booked to speak
at your event at www.mavenproductions.
com.
BUSINESS TODAY
The latest on Business News, Trends and Techniques
MARKETING ANGLES FOR SMALL BUSINESS
by La Quetta M. Shamblee,
It just takes a little time and
a dose of ingenuity to come
up with low-cost marketing
ideas to promote your business.
Sole entrepreneurs and small
businesses can benefit from
two activities employed by large
corporations: 1) Collaborating
and 2) Donating.
The definition of collaborating
has historically been tied to
literary works, or cooperating
with any enemy nation as
demonstrated by the Merriam
Webster definition for
“collaborate” – to work jointly
with other or together especially
in an intellectual endeavor, and
to cooperate, usually willingly
with an enemy nation, especially
with an enemy occupying one’s
country.
Fortunately for business use,
the contemporary notion of
collaborations has expanded to
include projects and activities
that involve one or more
parties cooperating for mutual
benefit. The nonprofit sector
uses both formal and informal
collaborations extensively.
An example is Foothill
Unity Center, a nonprofit
headquartered in Monrovia.
One of their many
collaborations is with Santa
Anita Race Track each year
to host a regional Back-To-
School event that provides
school supplies, hair cuts and
other items for children of low-
income families. The families
receive items they can’t afford
to purchase, and Santa Anita
Park and the companies that
donate goods and services are
acknowledged in press releases
and other announcements
about the event. Businesses can
also can use the venue for photo
opportunities to incorporate
into their marketing materials
and they can place their
banners and distribute other
information during the event.
It’s an ideal model for “grass
roots” promotion.
Collaborating can increase
your revenue if you do it right.
There’s much to be said for the
tradition of local businesses that
have historically supported little
league teams and school events
in their neighborhoods across
the county with cash donations.
In this instance, the community-
based organizations and schools
get much needed cash to support
their activities. The businesses
that donate can increase their
visibility and gain exposure to
potential customers. This is a
good example of a traditional
model of marketing a business
through community activities.
A donation is defined as “an
act or instance of presenting
something as a gift, grant or
contribution, however, when
it comes to making donations
on behalf of your business, it’s
important to be strategic with
your generosity. Another
example is Corfu Restaurant
in Sierra Madre offering a
discount to customers who
present a ticket stub from
an event at Sierra Madre
Playhouse. Owners Vic and
Amy were also receptive to
posting promotional materials
in their establishment. As a
result, the Instrumental Women
Project has collaborated with
them throughout a series of
jazz theatre productions at
the Playhouse this year. In
addition to paying Corfu to
provide lunch for the artists and
production crew, the restaurant
has received a full page ad in
each of the program books, and
on two occasions the producer
hosted the after-show for the
band there as well.
Instrumental Women sent out
e-announcements to promote
the shows that informed
patrons of the great food and
discount offered at Corfu, along
with encouraging people to
come early to stroll and dine
throughout Sierra Madre.
This model of collaboration
has great marketing and
revenue potential for businesses
both individually and working
in groups. It is the strategy that
leads to the development of
travel and tourism associations
to promote small cities, large
regions, states and even entire
countries. Think of these
activities as an alternative means
of advertising your business on
a shoestring budget.
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