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LEFT TURN/RIGHT TURN
Mountain Views News Saturday, January 28, 2012
The Real State of The Union
“I write what I think is
true. I don’t give a damn
about ‘reputation.’ If I’m
wrong I correct or re-think.
Once a writer worries
about these things, he’s
like an actor watching the
audience.”
- Andrew Sullivan
Writer, blogger and
TV talking-head Andrew
Sullivan is known for
expressing what he thinks
is true, rather than what he thinks conforms to
defined ideological cubby-holes.
He supported George W. Bush in 2000 and
John Kerry in 2004.
He calls himself a conservative supporting
limited government and a flat tax rate, while
opposing capital punishment and condemning
our use of torture.
He supports gay rights and gay marriage
(Sullivan and his partner were married in 2007),
but opposes anti-discrimination laws as an
example of government overreach.
Sullivan initially supported the war with Iraq,
but later explained, “After 9/11, I was clearly
blinded by fear of al Qaeda and deluded . . . into
thinking we could simply fight our way to victory
against Islamist terror. I wasn’t alone. But I was
surely wrong.” He characterizes supporters of
the war who have yet to acknowledge they were
wrong as “cowards”.
Andrew Sullivan raised his profile with a
cover story in last week’s Newsweek, “Why Are
Obama’s Critics So Dumb?” Characteristically,
the article targets the president’s critics on both
ends of the ideological spectrum: “The attacks
from both the right and the left on the man and
his policies aren’t out of bounds. They’re simply
– empirically – wrong.”
Sullivan recounts the facts: 750,000 jobs a
month being lost at the time Obama took office,
and the last quarter of 2008 seeing a drop in
growth at an annualized rate of nearly 9% -
the worst since the 1930s. Measures taken to
address the crisis were “far more successful than
anyone has yet fully given Obama the credit for.”
The jobs situation began improving in early
2010, right at the time Obama’s $787 billion
stimulus program took effect. Since then,
the economy’s added 2.4 million jobs – more
than the net gain during the entire eight years
under George W. Bush. At the same, a greater
percentage of government jobs have been cut
than during the early years of the Reagan
Administration. Regarding the stimulus, “It’s
not an exaggeration to say it prevented a spiral
downward that could have led to the Second
Great Depression.”
Sullivan states the tax and spending polices
under Bush cost the taxpayers $5.07 trillion
over two terms. The policies under Obama
are projected to cost $1.4 trillion over the same
period. Non-defense discretionary spending
grew by twice as much under Bush and the
Republicans than it has under Obama.
As for the Affordable Care Act, Sullivan points
out that we already have universal healthcare,
but in the least cost-efficient manner: when
someone shows up at the Emergency Room,
they have to be treated. What Obama has done
is adopt a policy once championed by Newt
Gingrich, Mitt Romney and The Heritage
Foundation – that of the “individual mandate”.
“Making 44 million free-riders pay into the
system is not fiscally reckless . . . It is, dare I say
it, conservative.”
Sullivan reminds how “Obama reversed
Bush’s policy of ignoring Osama bin Laden
“, overruled his vice president and secretary
of state in approving the eventual plan, and
personally ordered the extra helicopters that
proved crucial. Had Bush done the same,
acquiring a “treasure trove of real intelligence”
in the process, “he’d be on Mount Rushmore by
now.”
Obama’s foreign policy is compared to
Dwight Eisenhower’s and George H.W. Bush’s
in pursuing “long term strategic advantage”
- and it’s worked: we’re now able to exercise a
leadership role in the world as we haven’t been
for nearly a decade. Sullivan attributes the left’s
frustration with Obama to his similar approach
in domestic policy; playing the “long game”
rather than scoring short-term political points
he can take immediate credit for.
Sullivan describes Obama’s strategy for
dealing with an obstructionist congress as first
reaching out to the other side, and as they refuse
the gesture “he demonstrates that they are the
source of the problem”. He then pursues his
original proposal “without being effectively
tarred as an ideologue or a divider.”
The same approach was on display in the State
of the Union address. The president began by
extolling the unity of purpose exemplified by our
military, but then vowed he’d “fight obstruction
with action”, and “fight any action to return to
the policies that created these problems in the
first place.”
Close-ups of opposition leaders listening to
the speech revealed to a nation-wide audience
which side of the argument they were on. House
Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA) scowled in
disapproval as President Obama suggested that
we “stop rewarding companies that ship jobs
overseas and start rewarding those that keep
jobs at home.”
As others roared approval, House Speaker
John Boehner (R-OH) pouted at the suggestion
“women should earn equal pay for equal work.”
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell
(R-KY) looked like he got a jolt of bad news
when Obama announced that the percentage
of oil consumption from foreign sources is the
smallest it’s been in sixteen years.
President Obama seemed to be looking
beyond congress to the rest of us when he said,
“I’ll do what I can by myself, but I could do a
lot more with your help. There’s nothing that
together we can’t achieve.”
Andrew Sullivan made his observations in a
Newsweek cover story, but Chris Matthews of
MSNBC summed it up in a brief comment a few
moments after the president finished speaking:
Mitt Romney and his supporters point out
that the incumbent has never run a company.
They’re right – but Barack Obama has shown he
knows how to run a country.
President Obama’s state of the union address
should more appropriately have been titled “the
state of my campaign strategy”. It had less to
do with where we really are after 3 years of his
governance than it did with admitting that the
only way Liberals are going to win in 2012 is by
hoping Lincoln was right about being able to fool
all of the people some of the time.
This really shouldn’t be a surprise. President
Obama doesn’t dare admit on national television
that the state of the union has gotten worse on
his watch. His administration has exploded
government spending with no real benefit,
ballooned the national debt and promises to
inflate it even more, co-opted the independence
of the Fed Chief to create an inflationary
bubble which inevitably will burst, pushed
unemployment to unacceptable highs, vastly
increased the authority and meddling of the
federal government in our daily lives, achieved
only one major legislative program – Obamacare
– which is hated more now than when it was
passed and promises to be despised when actually
implemented, and his administration has turned
its back on the promise of decreasing dependence
on Middle East oil by killing the Keystone
pipeline project.
When you can’t base your re-election
campaign on your accomplishments, what’s a
sitting president to do? Create a new story line, of
course. You can count on the mainstream media
to carry the story for you and lob only softball
questions to you and your representatives.
Hence, we are told that this election will be
about some contrived problem with fairness and
inequality which demands more Liberal policies
to solve.
This isn’t really all that new. We’ve seen this
story line before and lived through the logical
results. Think back to the Jimmy Carter years
when we were treated to the then-unheard
of phenomenon of “stagflation” – economic
stagnation and inflation simultaneously. The
story has been updated a bit. Today we hear
about the 99% vs. the 1%. Somehow this is meant
to portray a society struggling under the burdens
unfairly imposed by the rich 1% on the poor 99%.
The subplot has the Republicans as the protectors
of the rich and the Democrats the champions of
the downtrodden. Sadly, few of our media elites
even ask if the story is true.
Let’s look at inequality
first. How much should
the rich pay in taxes is a
fair question. The most
recent statistics show
that the top 1% pays
30% of all taxes. The
middle 60% pay 15%
of all taxes. Ironically,
that does sound unequal
to me, but in a way
Liberals won’t like to admit. It’s unfair to ask
1% of the population to pay 30% of all taxes. To
go further, though, let’s anchor these statistics
with something. How much of our nation’s total
wealth does the top 1% generate? You read that
correctly – “generate”. This is something that the
mainstream press doesn’t cover. Wealth doesn’t
just exist. It has to be created. The top 1% created
17% of the wealth in this country, yet they then
have to shoulder 30% of the tax burden. No
matter which way you look at this, the top 1% are
paying far more than what they should.
In terms of fairness, when we live in a free
society, we have to accept the fact that some
people will succeed at a different rate than others.
In fact, some people will fail. They will start a
business or take on a job that they can’t perform.
This doesn’t make them bad people. We’ve all
had our failures. But if we don’t let successful
people reap rewards, they will stop investing their
money to build businesses and employ people. If
we protect people from their bad decisions, there
won’t be any motivation to make better ones in
the future. Freedom to succeed and freedom to
fail are fair by definition.
President Obama is a masterful politician, and
he may yet be successful in selling us his story.
But a true state of the union has to acknowledge
that he has ruined our economy, and that’s not
fair for anyone.
Gregory J. Welborn is an independent opinion
columnist. He writes and speaks frequently
on political, economic and social issues. His
columns have appeared in publications such
as The Los Angeles Daily News, The Orange
County Register, The Wall Street Journal and
USA Today. He can be reached at gwelborn@
mvobserver.com.
Portantino Introduces Bill to Continue Efforts to
Protect Public Safety Measure to Ban Openly
Carrying Unloaded Long Guns in Public
SACRAMENTO, CA –
Assemblymember Anthony
Portantino (D-La Canada Flintridge)
has introduced AB 1527, a measure
that will prohibit individuals from
openly displaying unloaded rifles
and shotguns in public. Portantino
introduced the legislation at the
urging of law enforcement as a follow
up to last year’s successful AB 144,
which banned openly carrying an
unloaded handgun in public places.
In reaction to the enactment of AB
144, Open Carry Organizations across the State
began hosting open carry events brandishing
rifles and shotguns in place of the now illegal
handguns. In at least once instance, they showed
up at a police fundraiser wielding unloaded
rifles.
“Last year, the state made it clear that this
type of behavior had no place on Main Street,
California,” said Assemblymember Portantino.
“Unfortunately, the Open Carry community has
decided to once again force our hand by escalating
their unnecessary activities and entering our
communities with AR-15s and other
long guns. I had hoped cooler heads
would have prevailed and this law
wouldn’t be necessary, obviously that
hasn’t been the case and I must once
again take action to ensure the
safety of our communities.”
AB 1527 builds on the newly
enacted law authored by Portantino
last year and provides a similar
list of exemptions to enable safe
transportation, lawful hunting, and
use by law enforcement officials.
“The Brady Campaign supports AB 1527,” said
Dr. Dallas Stout, President of the California Brady
Campaign Chapters. “These public displays of
shot guns, rifles, and live ammunition intimidate
and scare people. This is not the kind of society
Californians want to live in, and we support
ending this dangerous practice.”
AB 1527 currently awaits referral from the
Assembly Rules committee and will likely be
set for hearing in the Assembly Public Safety
committee sometime in late March or early
April.
Independent’s Eye by
JOE Gandelman
A Tempestuous Wind Blows
Through The GOP Primary
AUSTIN, Tex. –
It’s a new, unsettling
era for Republicans
on many fronts. For
instance, take Texas
Gov. Rick Perry.
Please.
Many Texans still love Perry and felt badly
about his wipe out on the national political
stage. The Dallas Morning News had this big
headline: “Perry’s dream dashed…With S.C.
out of reach, he bows out, backs Gingrich.”
A story underneath that: “After failed bid,
what’s his future?” Columnist Jacquielynn
Floyd’s headline: “Take Comfort, Rick
Perry: you have Texas to call home.”
Some analysts now predict Perry faces a
new era: he returns with reduced clout and
is viewed by foes as weaker. Texas House
Democratic Leader Jessica Farrar is already
demanding Perry reimburse the state money
the Governor spent on out-of-state-security
costs during his failed White House bid.
And the liberal group Progress Texas has
collected over 3,000 signatures online to try
and force Perry pay the state back.
But Perry’s new era is nothing compared
to the new era facing the Republican Party.
It’s now in a new era where the conventional
wisdom has been upended, its former
presumptive front-runner is on the run and
the party’s traditional establishment seems
about to be evicted. Is former Massachusetts
Gov. Mitt Romney about to lose yet
ANOTHER well-funded presidential bid?
Is former House Speaker Newt Gingrich on
track to become the party’s nominee despite
having enough baggage to occupy six TSA
inspectors?
The Republicans’ new political era was
best summarized by The National Journal’s
Ron Fournier: “Gingrich’s stunning South
Carolina victory, coupled with his surge
in Florida polling, has created near-panic
among Republican consultants, lobbyists,
elected officials and staffers, particularly
in Washington, who believe Gingrich is
too volatile and scandal-plagued to defeat
Obama.”
Romney once enjoyed a 22 point lead going
into the Florida primary, but then he caught
front-runner-itus and did his best Thomas
E. Dewey imitation, while Gingrich roared
in the South Carolina debate, becoming
the kind of polarizing Rush Limbaugh-
esque candidate that many 21st century
conservatives crave. Romney’s tepid debate
performances and politically negligent
handling of the tax issue then sparked a
huge shift: a Rasmussen poll gives Gingrich
a 41-32 point lead. Public Policy Polling puts
Gingrich ahead of Romney 38 percent to 33
percent: a Gingrich gain of 12 points during
a week when Romney dropped 8 points.
Still, poll numbers are fluid.
The bottom line? Before the South
Carolina primary Romney was Big Mo.
After the primary he was Big Shmo.
Mitt Romney now has more riding on
Florida than Lady Godiva had on a horse.
Gingrich is preaching to the very
conservative Republican primary voter choir
on stage right and Romney is preaching to
the national audience in the middle as well
as the choir on stage right -- and the choir
does not like or trust the signals Romney’s
giving to the general audience. Primary
voters seem to be looking for a Talk Show
Host in Chief. Meanwhile, a new ABC
News/ Washington Post poll puts Gingrich’s
negatives at 51 percent and Romney’s at 49
percent -- a whopping 15 percent increase in
Romney’s negatives since the Post’s last poll.
Where is this all heading?
To another new era. If the current pattern
holds, a Republican win would mean the
consolidation of the Republican Party’s Tea
Party movement, talk radio political culture,
and Republican infomachine as the new
Republican establishment. “Country Club
Republicans” will have definitely gone the
way of some country clubs in the recession:
out of business. But if the Republican
nominee loses big time in November, it’ll
likely mean the emergence of a Jeb Bush
or Christ Christie to pick up the pieces
-- GOPers closer to the 20th century’s
Republican World Order.
Many say the secret to winning the
Presidential election is to win the country’s
center, but the question will be where the
country’s center is and which party can try
to shove it towards its own center. Which
could be center left – or far right. And will
independent voters agree?
Joe Gandelman is a veteran journalist who
wrote for newspapers overseas and in the
United States. He has appeared on cable news
show political panels and is Editor-in-Chief
of The Moderate Voice, an Internet hub for
independents, centrists and moderates. CNN’s
John Avlon named him as one of the top 25
Centrists Columnists and Commentators. He can
be reached at jgandelman@themoderatevoice.
com and can be booked to speak at your event at
www.mavenproductions.com.
Making Sense by
MICHAEL Reagan
They Pick and Choose
Which Ox to Gore
He had a mistress
who was pregnant and
his wife had terminal
cancer; he was
running for president
and the press knew all
about it.
But there was no
firestorm in the media about this juicy scandal
until after the election of 2008 because John
Edwards is a Democrat!
Too bad Newt Gingrich is a Republican --
otherwise the media would see to it that he’d be
home free, warts and all, just like John Edwards.
But he is a Republican and he’s running for the
presidency, so members of the liberal media feel
free to apply their traditional double standard,
which always seems to come into play when the
target is a member of the GOP.
Now we have ABC -- with absolutely no
corroboration -- putting Gingrich’s ex-wife on
the air to boost ratings and help keep their guy in
the White House.
How things have changed in America since
my mother and father divorced. My mother,
the sainted Jane Wyman, was offered hundreds
of thousands of dollars to write books and do
interviews or anything else that could help
undermine Ronald Reagan, her ex-husband and
40th president of the United States.
In fact she told producers of her hit TV series
“Falcon Crest” -- for which she won a Golden
Globe award -- that any interviews she granted to
promote the show would end the very moment a
single question was asked about my father.
My mother remained quiet about their marriage
-- which ended in 1948 -- until my father’s funeral
in 2004, and then she merely remarked that the
world had lost a wonderful man. I wish more
people would follow my mother’s lead instead of
following the ratings and the money.
Shame on you ABC and ex-wife Marianne!
Michael Reagan is the son of President Ronald
Reagan, a political consultant, and the author
of “The New Reagan Revolution” (St. Martin’s
Press, 2011). He is the founder and chairman of
The Reagan Group and president of The Reagan
Legacy Foundation. Visit his website at www.
reagan.com, or e-mail comments to Reagan@
caglecartoons.com.
©2012 Mike Reagan. Mike’s column is distributed
exclusively by: Cagle Cartoons, Inc., newspaper
syndicate. For info contact Cari Dawson Bartley.
E-mail Cari@cagle.com, (800) 696-7561.
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