Mountain Views News Saturday, April 5, 2014
B6OPINION
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This has been a week rich with events
worthy of commentary. Many of
them are sad beyond comprehension
and as of this writing just too close
to warrant political commentary. I
refer, of course, to the second attack
on Fort Hood, so let me simply offer
my prayers for recovery for those who
were wounded and for peace for those
who lost a loved one. I offer nothing
for the shooter.
With that acknowledgement, letme address the topic I did choose.
Admittedly, I did so because my son
is directly affected: my very qualified
and very motivated son (please pardon
a father’s pride) is having a tough time
finding a job, or an internship, even
a non-paying internship. Yes, he’s
willing to work hard for free and still
can’t find any takers. He is not alone,
and so I want to address why they
can’t find jobs.
Let’s move away from my son’s
anecdotal experience. Despite the
recent White House press conference
showcasing a beaming President
claiming success in his signature
legislation and pointing to signs visible
only to him of a strong recovery, all is
not well in the American job market.
According to the Wall Street Journal,
today, 57 months after the end of the
great recession and 32months after
real GDP surpassed its previous
high, fewer people have jobs than in
December of 2007.
What employment recapture hasoccurred has not been at the same
economic level as the jobs lost. In
other words, a job lost at $30,000 per
year is not equal to a job regained at
$20,000. There’s more to this than
just the head count of who’s employed,
although there are still many millions
of people who want jobs and can’t find
them.
One of the most telling statistics
is that median household income
now stands 4.4% lower than when
the great recession ended. We need
to let that sink in! The recession is
over, economic growth has resumed,
has surpassed where it was before
the damn thing was broken, and yet,
median income has continued to fall.
The President’s defenders, and
all those left of center, will point to
the fact that corporate profits have
risen to postwar highs while total
compensation has fallen to its lowest
level in 50+ years. Clearly, they say,
Obama’s policies have healed the
economy; it’s the greedy corporate
profiteers who have chosen to not
policy makers
in D.C. If
greedy corporate
fat cats have
decided to cheat
the workers as the
economy recovers,
why didn’t they
do it earlier? Why
wait til 2011, or 2012, or 2013 to fire
the little guy? Why didn’t they do it
in 2007, or 2006 when the political
fallout would have been less? This
isn’t a flippant question. If fat cats
simply want to take more money,
doesn’t it stand to reason they would
have done so during good times when
the terminations would have received
less scrutiny?
Perhaps, it’s not unbridled greed
or pure spite which motivates them.
Perhaps the cost and uncertainty
of employment has increased to the
point where it is eminently logical
to use technology instead of human
labor to accomplish the job at hand.
Every one of us – white collar,
blue collar, management or labor –
is motivated to act in our own best
interest. If a worker can do a job
more economically than a machine,
business owners will hire the worker.
But if the government steps in and
mandates an increase in the minimum
wage – as Obama announced last
week - above what the worker actually
produces and/or above the level of
what a machine costs to do the job,
then the machine will get the job.
That’s not mean, spiteful or greedy.
It’s common sense.
Add to Obama’s promise to use
executive order to raise the minimum
wage 39% the fact that Obamacare’s
health insurance tax is equivalent to
the entire gross income of McDonalds
Corporation, and it shouldn’t be any
wonder at all that businesses are
very, very cautious about hiring more
workers.
So, we return to my son, your
children, and perhaps a few of you
dads and moms also looking for jobs.
It’s not the employer’s fault. My son
would take an internship for free, but
several firms have told him they’re
afraid of being sued for not paying
the minimum wage. The reason
Americans can’t get jobs is because the
wizard in the White House has made
it too expensive to hire them. It’s not
greed on Wall Street; it’s stupidity in
Washington.
About the author: Gregory J.
Welborn is a freelance writer and has
spoken to several civic and religious
OUT TO PASTOR
A Weekly Religion Column by Rev. James Snyder
HOWARD Hays As I See ItLEFT TURN / RIGHT TURN
GREG WelbornWHY CAN’T THEY GET
JOBS?
WHERE HAVE ALL THE MEN IN WHITE
HATS GONE?
When I was growing
up you could always
tell who the good
men were by the
white hats they wore. Bad men always wore
black hats. That made it rather convenient
for those of us who were watching so we
knew who would be winning at the end.
When you were in trouble all you had to do
was look for someone wearing a white hat.
Not only did the good men wear white hats
but also they were able to solve every crime
within a 60-minute period. How they did it,
is anybody's guess.
Today, nobody wears hats, which has
introduced a rather confusing element into
our society. You can never tell the bad men
from the good men. I know the hat does
not make the man but it would sure help to
identify the bad man from the good man.
I could name them all off. The Lone Ranger,
Roy Rogers, Gene Autry, and John Wayne
and the list could go on and on. All of
these men wore white hats and they all
took care of the bad guys in their own way.
You could be sure, at the end the good man
always won. There was a certain sense of
satisfaction knowing that all those bad men
paid for their deeds and justice prevailed.
Of course, today we could never do this.
There is something called "profiling." And
people use this term as though it was a
negative thing. "Oh, be careful so you don't
profile that person."
Gene Autry always profiled his men and in
the end, justice prevailed.
I look at it this way. If it walks like a duck,
looks like a duck and quacks like a duck,
the chances are pretty high I am looking
at a duck. However, in our crazy world
of uncertainty it is against the political
correctness of our day for me to say this.
According to today's standards, I must
look at that "thing" and not judge it by its
appearance. "Why, don't you know, dear
brother, you might offend it and give it
some kind of an insecurity complex?" How
do I know but that duck in front of me will
be offended by me calling it a duck? It is the
epitome of insensitivity for me to assume
that I have the right to call a duck a duck.
Who knows, that particular duck might
think it is a dog. After all, a quack is not that
far from a bark.
Meanwhile, back at the ranch, confusion
reigns.
During the last year, I have spent a little
bit of time flying from here to there. And
the security at these airports defies the
intelligence God gave a termite. Going
through the line I have to take off my belt,
remove my shoes (which come very close to
a stink bomb), empty all the pens out of my
pocket and submit myself to a body search.
Now, they have some kind of electronic
gizmo that enables them to see through my
clothes. In 10th grade, I dreamed of such
a gadget and I am a little provoked it has
taken them so long to perfect this.
Two years ago, I traveled from Orlando,
Florida to Manila, Philippines, through
Japan and back again to Orlando. The trip
was fine until I tried to re-enter the United
States and upon a luggage search, they
discovered I had one of those old-fashioned
double blade razors. It was something of
an antique that my grandfather gave me
35 years ago. I had been using it to shave
ever since. After all these years of shaving
with it, it took the intelligence of some
security officer to discover this was a highly
dangerous weapon. Consequently, I was
not allowed to enter the country with it.
I must admit that in 35 years of shaving
with it, I had shed a little bit of blood. I
never guessed in a million years I was in
possession of a highly dangerous, illegal
weapon. The officer who discovered it did
not recognize it. When I told him it was
a razor used for shaving, he looked at me
suspiciously and then said, "Yeah, sure
it is, Buster." No amount of explanation
could convince him that it was part of my
toiletries and he insisted that he confiscate
it for the protection of everybody in the
United States.
It was a close shave, but they finally allowed
me to enter the United States upon the
surrender of this highly sophisticatedweapon. Only that security officer knows
how close this country came to annihilation
from an antique man's shaver.
Of course, looks can be deceiving. People
who looked like someone you could trust
have perpetrated the biggest frauds in our
country. Bernie Madoff comes to mind.
Sometimes what you think you are getting
you are not really getting.
There is a spiritual application here. Some
people may look religious on the outside
but God knows what is on the inside.
"But the LORD said unto Samuel, Look not
on his countenance, or on the height of his
stature; because I have refused him: for [the
LORD seeth] not as man seeth; for man
looketh on the outward appearance, but
the LORD looketh on the heart" (1 Samuel
16:7 KJV).
You can fool everybody in the world, but
you cannot fool God. He wears a white hat
and always has the last word.
The Rev. James L. Snyder is pastor of the Family
of God Fellowship, 1471 Pine Road, Ocala, FL
34472. He lives with his wife, Martha, in Silver
Springs Shores.E-mail jamessnyder2@att.net.
The web site is www.whatafellowship.com.
“Obamacare has become the
domestic policy equivalent
of the Iraq War . . . With the
political damage guaranteed
to continue, the momentum
toward repeal will be
unstoppable.”
- Steven Hayward in Forbes –
November, 2013
I’m not sure what bothers
me more; that some folks just
can’t admit to having been wrong, or that some
can’t stand seeing something succeed, especially
when that something actually helps people.
When President Obama’s stimulus bill kicked
in one year after his inauguration, the effect
on job creation and economic recovery was
immediate – as was the effect on those who’d
fought so hard to kill it. All of a sudden, those
responsible for the Great Recession in the first
place were griping about the slowness of the
recovery. Coming from the brink of a full-
blown depression, the president was branded a
failure for not having single-handedly restored
full employment in a few months’ time.
When it became clear that policies were
working and recovery seemed assured,
opponents of the president resolved to prevent
it – trying to sabotage the whole thing with
“fiscal cliffs” and debt ceiling deadlock. It risked
plunging us back into recession, but if it did
they’d be able to gloat they’d been right all along
about this president presiding over a disastrous
economy.
There are those who can’t hide their
disappointment when we avoid war – for
whom diplomatic solutions seem some sort of
failure. “Red lines” and ultimatums are simply
preliminaries for military aggression; whether
demanding Saddam Hussein account for
weapons of mass destruction, or that Ukrainians
stop mistreating ethnic Russians within their
borders.
President Obama’s “red line” against Syria
was its use of chemical weapons against its
people. When air strikes led by the U.S. and
France appeared imminent, Syrian President
Assad agreed to talk. As of last October, all
declared facilities and equipment for producing
chemical weapons had been destroyed. As of
today, half the weapons themselves are gone –
and the process continues under international
supervision.
Sens. John McCain (R-AZ) and Lindsey
Graham (R-SC) complained that our avoiding
war against Syria will be regarded by others as
“an act of provocative weakness”.
As to Ukraine, columnist Greg Welborn
and others seem miffed that, by focusing on
working with European Union and NATO
allies in putting political and economic pressure
on Russia’s President Putin, we’re passing up a
golden opportunity to re-start a global nuclear-
arms race.
An item that doesn’t seem to be getting much
coverage is the fact that March 2014 marked
the first month in over ten years in which there
were no deaths of American troops engaged in
months of downtime following the rollout of
the federal website. (The CBO had revised its
projection down to 6 million earlier this year.)
This is in addition to 4.5 million enrolled
through states’ expansion of Medicaid coverage,
and 3 million young adults able to keep coverage
under their parents’ plans.
Millions of Americans getting real, affordable
coverage – not the kind that excludes preexisting
conditions or ends once a “cap” in
benefits is reached; free preventive care like
mammograms and contraception; millions of
seniors saving nearly $10 billion in prescription
drug costs – and some people can’t stand it.
Years of warnings of the program’s inevitable
“train wreck” and “death spiral” proved baseless;
tens of millions sunk on failed campaigns
bankrolled by Koch-backed front groups to
scare people away from even trying to enroll –
What could be worse?
As Jonathan Chait writes in New York
Magazine, “at its root the idea of Obamacare’s
collapse was tinged heavily all along with right-
wing wish fulfillment”. Those wishes die hard,
so now it’s the spin. Michael Hiltzik addressed
some of the talking points in the L.A. Times:
First, there’s the charge that many who’ve
enrolled haven’t paid. Most wouldn’t see much
reason to pay before receiving their first bill,
anyway - while states have reported that between
85% and 90% have paid on time.
They claim that most enrollees were already
insured. It’s based on a survey that doesn’t
separate those who enrolled through the
exchanges from those who did so with their
current carriers. Kentucky reports 75% of
exchange enrollees as previously uninsured; the
figure out of New York is 92%.
They argue the ACA resulted in more
cancellations than new enrollees. A Rand study
puts the number of newly-uninsured at less than
a million, while most cancellations involved
moving into better policies.
We hear they’re “cooking the books”. The
figures coming out of Washington reflect those
states that refused to set up their own exchanges
– not the better figures from states that did. As
Hiltzik put it, “If the feds are cooking the books,
they’ve cooked them to look worse, not better.”
More insurance companies are seeking to join
their states’ exchanges this fall for the next round
of enrollments, and more states are looking to
get with the program and expand their Medicaid
eligibility.
Thanks to the ACA, healthcare costs as a
percentage of GDP have dropped for the first
time in over fifteen years. CNN Money projects
that over the next four years enrollments through
the exchanges will increase to 25 million, and
the number of uninsured Americans will drop
from 45 million to 30 million.
Eighty years after enactment, there are still
those decrying Social Security as a doomed
“Ponzi scheme”. Fifty years into the program,
Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) wants to dump Medicare
and instead give seniors a “voucher” and wish
them luck in the private insurance market.
Decades from now, they’ll still be railing
If there's one
thing Republicans
hate even more
than health
insurance for a
growing number
of Americans, it's
empirical evidencethat Obamacare
is insuring a
growing number
of Americans.
As we hit the
first enrollment deadline, the raw stats
demonstrate that the health reform law is
very much alive and threading itself into
the national fabric. Well over 6 million
people have signed up on the state-run
marketplace exchanges, nearly matching
the original forecast - a minor miracle,
given last autumn's website disaster.
Roughly one-third of those signers were
previously uninsured. Plus, another 4.5
million previously uninsured peoplehave signed up for Obamacare, via the
expanded Medicaid program that's now
available in half the states. Plus, 3 million
previously uninsured young adults are
now covered under their parents' plans,
via a popular Obamacare provision.
In other words, at least 9.5 million
previously uninsured Americans now
have coverage; indeed, the nonpartisanCongressional Budget Office says in a
new report that the uninsured populationwill drop more than 20 percent during
2014. Meanwhile, the public opinion
vibes are bullish. The latest ABC News-
Washington Post poll says that a plurality
of Americans now favor Obamacare, 49 to
48 percent. (That's a new high, driven by a
surge in Democratic support.) And while
Republicans continue to jerk their knees
for repeal, pollsters at the Kaiser Family
Foundation say that only 29 percent of
Americans want repeal.
But we all know how the haters in the
conservative cocoon react to facts.
The basic mindset: "No this isn't
happening!" Or as Republican Sen.
John Barrasso of Wyoming insisted, the
Obama administration is simply "cooking
the books."
By now, of course, we recognize the
symptoms of this denial psychosis. Like
when they insist that virtually every
climate change scientist on the planet is
making stuff up. And when they insisted,
in October 2012, that all the pollsters
forecasting an Obama victory were
just cooking the numbers. And when
they insisted, in October 2012, that the
reported drop in the jobless rate was
actually a Labor Department plot to cook
the stats.
I know, I know. Obamacare comes with
many caveats; its fine print has yet to
be delineated. To borrow the immortal
Donald Rumsfeld phrase, there are
many unknown unknowns. We won't
know for awhile how many of the signers
have started paying premiums, or what
percentage of young healthy people have
enrolled, or whether large uninsured
communities (such as Hispanics) can be
persuaded to sign up, or whether insurance
companies will hike their premiums (as
they typically did, pre-Obamacare), or
how the law's postponed provisions will
work when they finally kick in.
And I will be shocked if the Republicans
don't win big in the autumn midterm
elections. Their votes (older white people)
typically dominate the midterms, and
this year they'll be highly motivated by
hatred of Obamacare. President Obama's
coalition (younger and racially diverse)
isn't well attuned to the midterms,
and even if they like Obamacare, their
intensity level probably isn't sufficient to
propel them to the polls en masse.
But even if Republicans take the Senate
and agitate anew for repeal in 2015, they'll
be forced to face political reality - not just
Obama's veto power, but the virtually
impossible task of stopping a train that
has already left the station. Anyone who
signs up for Obamacare is a voter who
would resent Republican meddling; in
politics, the most suicidal thing you can
do is try to take away something that
people have. And certainly by 2016, the
Obamacare constituency will be in the
tens of millions.
The process hasn't been smooth or pretty -
as they say in football, it's "two yards and a
cloud of dust" - but the health reform team
continues to move the ball downfield
despite carping from the sidelines.
Ross Douthat, the New York Times'
conservative columnist, framed it best
in his wake-up message to the haters.
Obamacare, he said, "is taking place on a
significant scale." For Republicans, the big
political risk is that they "would end up
stripping coverage from millions of newly-
insured Americans...But wherever theygo and whatever they do, they will have
to deal with the reality that Obamacare,
thrice-buried, looks very much alive."
Or they can just keep telling themselves
that reality is merely a mirage. Sounds
about right.
DICK Polman OBAMACARE HATERS CAN’T
HANDLE THE TRUTH
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share the wealth. It’s their fault people
aren’t being hired and that family
income is down.
It’s a soothing theory, but then any
theory with a convenient scapegoat
will ease the pain and deflect anger
organizations on cultural and moral
issues. He lives in the Los Angeles
area with his wife and 3 children and
is active in the community. He can be
reached gregwelborn2@gmail.com
combat. I’m sure there are those who see this
as a sign we must be doing something wrong.
The big news was the announcement that
first-year enrollments through exchanges
under the Affordable Care Act surpassed the
Congressional Budget Office’s projection of 7
against the ACA. And, they’ll no more concede
they were wrong in predicting its demise than
they were in their predictions of Republican
success in the 2014 midterms.
million – a projection made prior to the two from where it rightly belongs – on
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